New York City is looking to make a big splash in their first match since getting dismantled on home soil by the Houston Dynamo on May 28. It ended a three-match unbeaten streak for the club, which included wings over the Chicago Fire and rival New York Red Bulls.

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Atlanta United has a probability of 24.24% and a draw has a probability of 22.4%.