An asteroid between about 130 and 300 ft. (40 and 90 meters) in diameter has been given a 2.3% chance of it hitting Earth on Dec. 22, 2032.

The chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 colliding with Earth in 2032 have risen again (again), making it the most dangerous near-Earth object (NEO) since astronomers began tracking them. The odds of the asteroid striking Earth on December 22,

Astronomers are closely monitoring asteroid 2024 YR4, which once had the highest recorded impact probability for its size. Current estimates place its chance of hitting Earth at 1.5% in 2032, with a smaller risk for the Moon.